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岳宇慧, 杨娜, 缪东玲. “双循环”背景下全球木家具贸易格局及中国发展路径[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2022, 21(1): 37-43. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2021254
引用本文: 岳宇慧, 杨娜, 缪东玲. “双循环”背景下全球木家具贸易格局及中国发展路径[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2022, 21(1): 37-43. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2021254
Yue Yuhui, Yang Na, Miao Dongling. Global Wooden Furniture Trade Pattern and China's Development Path Under Dual Circulation Background[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2022, 21(1): 37-43. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2021254
Citation: Yue Yuhui, Yang Na, Miao Dongling. Global Wooden Furniture Trade Pattern and China's Development Path Under Dual Circulation Background[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2022, 21(1): 37-43. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2021254

“双循环”背景下全球木家具贸易格局及中国发展路径

Global Wooden Furniture Trade Pattern and China's Development Path Under Dual Circulation Background

  • 摘要: 近年来,在中美贸易摩擦和新型冠状病毒肺炎疫情影响下,中国木家具产业面临更加严峻的挑战。基于“双循环”背景,研究全球木家具贸易格局及中国发展路径十分必要。首先依据社会网络理论,构建全球木家具贸易社会网络模型,选取2002—2019年的全球木家具贸易数据,计算中心度、网络密度、聚类系数等指标,展示全球木家具贸易网络格局及演变趋势;其次分析中国木家具贸易位置演变规律及存在问题;最后基于“双循环”背景,研究中国木家具产业的高质量发展路径。研究发现:木家具贸易呈全球化发展态势,贸易参与国家的数量上升,贸易核心国家的数量不断增加;中国已成为木家具贸易大国和贸易核心国,在全球木家具贸易中的控制力和影响力不断增强;目前中国木家具贸易顺差较大,容易受贸易壁垒影响,市场集中度高,抵御风险能力较弱。研究认为:中国应该扩大进口,控制顺差;把握“一带一路”契机,开拓国内外市场;深化供给侧改革,延伸创新链;强化“有形之手”的作用。

     

    Abstract: In recent years, Sino-US trade frictions and COVID-19 have made China's wood furniture industry face severe challenges. Based on the "dual circulation" background, it is necessary to study the global wooden furniture trade pattern and China's development way. Firstly, based on the social network theory, this paper constructs a global wood furniture trade social network model. Using the global wood furniture trade data from 2002 to 2019, calculate the centrality, network density, clustering coefficient and other indicators to display the global wood furniture trade network pattern and evolution trend. Secondly, it analyzes the evolution law and problems of China's wood furniture trade position. Finally, it studies the high-quality development path of China's wood furniture industry based on the strategic background of "dual circulation". The study found that more and more countries are participating in the global wood furniture trade, showing a trend of globalization, and the number of core countries in the global wood furniture trade is increasing; China has become a major country and the core country in the global wood furniture trade. The control and influence in the global wood furniture trade are constantly increasing. But at present, China's wood furniture trade surplus is relatively large, and it is easily affected by trade barriers. The market concentration is too high and the ability to resist risks is weak. The countermeasures and suggestions are as follows: China should expand imports and control surplus, seize the opportunity of the "Belt and Road" to develop domestic and foreign markets, deepen the supply side reform and extend the innovation chain, and strengthen the role of "visible hand".

     

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