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李玥铭, 李心斐, 李媛媛, 程宝栋. 基于环境规制视角分析外商直接投资对中国碳排放污染的影响[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2023, 22(2): 16-25. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022047
引用本文: 李玥铭, 李心斐, 李媛媛, 程宝栋. 基于环境规制视角分析外商直接投资对中国碳排放污染的影响[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2023, 22(2): 16-25. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022047
Li Yueming, Li Xinfei, Li Yuanyuan, Cheng Baodong. The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on China's Carbon Emission Pollution from the Perspective of Environmental Regulation[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2023, 22(2): 16-25. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022047
Citation: Li Yueming, Li Xinfei, Li Yuanyuan, Cheng Baodong. The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on China's Carbon Emission Pollution from the Perspective of Environmental Regulation[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2023, 22(2): 16-25. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022047

基于环境规制视角分析外商直接投资对中国碳排放污染的影响

The Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on China's Carbon Emission Pollution from the Perspective of Environmental Regulation

  • 摘要: 21世纪以来,中国外商直接投资流入规模逐年增加,2020年首次超过美国成为了最大外资流入国。外商直接投资流入伴随着污染转移、技术转移与结构转移,对中国碳排放产生了复杂影响。外商直接投资流入是否增加了中国的碳排放环境负荷,日趋严格的环境规制是否改变这一效应,为回答以上问题,将环境规制作为调节变量,基于1998—2017年省级面板数据,使用空间杜宾模型分析外商直接投资对中国碳排放的影响。研究发现:一定规模内的外商直接投资流入在中国整体上呈现出“污染光环”效应,即减少了碳排放,到达拐点后会呈现为相反的增排效应;外商直接投资流入对相邻地区碳排放的溢出效应大于对本地区碳排放的直接效应,作用方向分别呈现为倒U型和U型;环境规制的调节作用主要表现为反作用力,缓冲碳排放量的猛增与猛减。

     

    Abstract: Since the 21st century, the inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) in China has increased year by year. In 2020, China surpassed the United States for the first time to become the largest foreign capital inflow country. The inflow of FDI is accompanied by the transfer of pollution, technology and structure, and has had a complex impact on China's carbon emissions. So, does FDI inflow increase China's environmental load of carbon emissions? Will tightening environmental regulations change this effect? To answer the above questions, this paper uses environmental regulation as a moderator variable, and uses the Spatial Durbin Model to analyze the impact of FDI on China's carbon emissions based on provincial panel data from 1998 to 2017. The study found that: FDI inflows within a certain scale show a "pollution halo" effect in China as a whole, that is, carbon emissions are reduced, and when the inflection point is reached, it will show the opposite effect of increasing emissions. FDI inflows have spillover effects on carbon emissions in adjacent areas, greater than the direct effect on carbon emissions in the local region, shown as inverted U-shaped and U-shaped respectively. The adjustment effect of environmental regulation is mainly reflected in the counter-acting force, which buffers the sharp increase or decrease of carbon emissions.

     

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