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数字经济对农业新质生产力的影响机制研究

Research on the Mechanism of Impact of Digital Economy on New Quality Productivity in Agriculture

  • 摘要: 农业新质生产力已成为农业现代化的重要体现形式,是科技创新与各领域交叉融合突破所产生的根本性成果。本文基于2012—2022年中国30个省(区、市)的面板数据,构建了农业新质生产力和数字经济发展水平的综合评价指标体系,利用熵值法进行测度,并通过固定效应和中介效应等计量模型探究数字经济、农业绿色技术创新和农业新质生产力三者之间的互动关系。结果表明:数字经济能够显著促进农业新质生产力,并且经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立;数字经济通过提高农业绿色技术创新水平进而推动农业新质生产力发展;数字经济对农业新质生产力的促进作用具有区域异质性,与中西部和低经济发展水平地区相比,东部和高经济发展水平地区数字经济对农业新质生产力的促进作用更强。基于此,各地区应加强数字基础设施建设,构建跨区协作与交流机制,为推动农业新质生产力发展提供政策参考。

     

    Abstract: Agricultural new-quality productivity has become a key component of agricultural modernisation, resulting from transformative breakthroughs in scientific and technological innovation in various fields. Using panel data from 30 Chinese provinces (including autonomous regions and municipalities) from 2012 to 2022, this paper develops a comprehensive evaluation index system to assess the development level of agricultural new-quality productivity and digital economy. The entropy method is used for measurement, and econometric models such as fixed effects model and mediation effect are used to explore the interactions between the digital economy, green innovation and agricultural new-quality productivity. The results indicate that: (1) the digital economy significantly promotes agricultural new-quality productivity, and this effect remains robust after multiple tests; (2) the digital economy promotes agricultural new-quality productivity by promoting green technological innovation; (3) the effect of the digital economy on agricultural new-quality productivity exhibits regional heterogeneity, with a stronger effect in the eastern regions and areas with higher economic development, compared to the central and western regions with lower economic development. Based on these results, it is recommended that regions strengthen digital infrastructure and establish inter-regional cooperation and exchange mechanisms, which could serve as a policy reference for promoting the development of new agricultural productivity.

     

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