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基于i-Tree Eco的北京平原造林项目成本-效益研究

Cost-benefit Study of Beijing Plain Afforestation Project Based on i-Tree Eco

  • 摘要: 北京平原造林项目提升了城市生态承载力、优化了首都生态空间格局,然而该项目的成本效益却是未知的。本研究基于典型样地调查和i-Tree Eco模型评估,分析和预测北京平原林自造林次年起(2014年)至2050年的生态系统服务价值,旨在通过系统量化北京平原林生态系统服务价值及相关成本,揭示北京平原造林项目长期的投资回报。研究结果表明,北京平原造林项目取得了良好的生态效益,研究区平原林2014—2050年单位面积生态效益价值均值为143 309.14元/(hm2·a),单株年均效益均值为224.01元,各年的效益成本比平均值为2.92。考虑造林成本和贴现率因素,平原造林项目的净现值为27 606.68元/(hm2·a),森林康养价值、贴现率、林地管护费用、土地流转费用、固碳释氧价值和林木死亡率是影响造林项目净现值的主要因素。研究方法可为北京平原造林项目成本-效益评价提供借鉴参考,以期为北京平原林的可持续经营管理提供决策支持。

     

    Abstract: The Beijing Plain Afforestation Project has enhanced the ecological carrying capacity of the city and optimized the ecological spatial pattern of the capital. However, the cost-effectiveness of this project remains unknown. This study, based on typical plot surveys and the i-Tree Eco model assessment, analyzed and predicted the ecosystem service value of the Beijing Plain Forest from 2014 (the year following afforestation) to 2050. The aim was to systematically quantify the ecosystem service value and related costs of the Beijing Plain Forest, and to reveal the long-term investment return of the Beijing Plain Afforestation Project. The results show that the project has achieved good ecological benefits. During 2014 to 2050, the average value of the ecological benefit per unit area of the plain forest in the study area was 143 309.14 yuan/(hm2·a), and the average annual benefit per tree was 224.01 yuan. The average benefit-cost ratio for each year was 2.92. Considering the afforestation cost and discount rate, the net present value of the plain afforestation project was 27 606.68 yuan/(hm2·a). The forest health and wellness value, discount rate, forest land management cost, land transfer cost, carbon sequestration and oxygen release value, and tree mortality rate were the main factors affecting the net present value of the afforestation project. The research method can provide a reference for the cost-benefit evaluation of the Beijing Plain Afforestation Project, with the aim of providing decision support for the sustainable management of the Beijing Plain Forest.

     

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