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替代还是创造?造纸印刷业融合数字经济对就业的影响研究基于全球47个经济体的实证分析

Substitution or Creation? The Impact of Digital Economy Integration on Employment in the Paper and Printing Industry: An Empirical Analysis Across 47 Global Economies

  • 摘要: 随着数字经济浪潮在全球兴起,造纸印刷业为应对市场竞争、满足消费者需求、提升产业附加值,正在积极地融合数字经济。数字经济对就业的影响是替代还是创造,已成为社会瞩目的焦点和学术研究的热点。本文基于2006—2020年全球47个经济体造纸印刷业的行业面板数据,系统分析了造纸印刷业融合数字经济对就业的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:造纸印刷业与数字经济融合对就业规模的影响主要体现为创造效应,且该效应对高技能劳动力的影响最强,中等技能劳动力次之,而对低技能劳动力存在一定负向影响;依托数字产品制造和数字技术应用的融合是促进就业的主要渠道;在失业率较低的国家,造纸印刷业与数字经济融合的创造效应更显著。此外,在融合过程中,企业通过提高劳动生产率和增加人力资本支出促进就业规模的扩大;营商环境发挥正向的调节作用,特别是市场准入和市场运营条件的改善。

     

    Abstract: Amidst the global expansion of the digital economy, the paper and printing industry has actively pursued digital integration to enhance market competitiveness, meet evolving consumer demands, and elevate industrial value-added outcomes. The dual employment effects of digital economy - displacement versus creation - have emerged as a focal point in socio-economic research. This study conducts a rigorous analysis on panel data of 47 economies from 2006 to 2020, to systematically examine the employment impacts of digital integration within the paper and printing industry. Research has revealed that the integration of the paper and printing industry with the digital economy mainly manifests as a creation effect on the scale of employment. This effect is the strongest for high-skilled labor, followed by medium-skilled labor, while it has a certain negative impact on low-skilled labor. The digital product manufacturing industry and the digital technology application industry are the main channels for promoting employment. In countries with a lower unemployment rate, the creation effect of the integration of paper and printing industry with digital economy is more significant. During the integration process, enterprises promote the expansion of the employment scale by enhancing labor productivity and increasing human capital investment. Meanwhile, the business environment plays a positive moderating role, especially the improvement of market access and market operation conditions.

     

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