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产业集群发展对中国家具出口产品质量的影响

The Impact of Industrial Cluster Development on the Quality of China's Furniture Export Products

  • 摘要: 提升出口产品质量是中国家具产业面临的重要课题。本文首先以空间分析识别中国家具产业集群分布格局和演化特征,建立综合评价模型测算集群发展水平,并从市场集中度视角测度中国家具出口产品质量。其次,结合产业集群正负效应,分析产业集群发展对出口产品质量的影响机理并提出假说,基于2014—2021年数据建立动态面板数据模型,验证影响效果和路径。研究发现:中国家具产业省际集群主要分布于华东、华南、华北、西南、东北15个省(区、市);除山东和辽宁外,多数集群成熟度波动上升但仍处于成长阶段,仅上海、天津、浙江和广东进入成熟阶段;研发经费支出是最重要影响因素;出口产品质量在波动中小幅提升,2015—2018年提升较快,2019—2021年小幅下降;沿海集群的出口产品质量较高且波动较小,内陆集群的出口产品质量提升较快但波动较大;集群发展有利于出口产品质量提升,尚未出现过度聚集的负向影响,影响存在门槛效应。最后,提出强化政策支持与差异化资源倾斜、加大创新研发投入与跨区域合作、试点产业融合与动态监测、防范过度集聚并分类施策、推进精准优化和品牌建设等建议。

     

    Abstract: Improving the quality of export products is an important issue that China’s furniture industry must address. This article first uses spatial analysis to identify the distribution pattern and evolution characteristics of China's furniture industry clusters, establishes a comprehensive evaluation model to measure the development level of these clusters, and measures the export product quality of China's furniture from the perspective of market concentration. Second, considering both the positive and negative effects of industrial clusters, this article analyzes the mechanism through which industrial cluster development affects export product quality and proposes hypotheses. Using data from 2014 to 2021, it then establishes a dynamic panel data model to examine the effects and pathways of this influence. The results show that: China's inter-provincial furniture industry clusters are mainly distributed across 15 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in East, South, North, Southwest, and Northeast China; except for the clusters in Shandong and Liaoning, the maturity of most other clusters fluctuated upward but remained at the growth stage, and only those in Shanghai, Tianjin, Zhejiang, and Guangdong entered the mature stage; R&D expenditure was the most important influencing factor; the export product quality of China’s furniture improved slightly amid fluctuations, rising relatively quickly from 2015 to 2018 and declining slightly from 2019 to 2021; clusters in coastal areas had higher export product quality and smaller fluctuation, whereas clusters in inland areas improved faster but fluctuated more; industrial cluster development was conducive to improving export product quality, no negative effect of over-agglomeration had yet emerged, and the influence exhibited a threshold effect. Finally, this article proposes recommendations: strengthening policy support and differentiated resource allocation, increasing investment in innovation and R&D, establishing cross-regional cooperation and exchange mechanisms, piloting industrial integration and replacing simple scale control with dynamic monitoring, guarding against potential over-agglomeration and adopting differentiated policies according to the cluster life cycle, and carrying out targeted optimization and brand building.

     

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