On the Coordinated Development of Ecology and Economic System in Hunan Province Under the New Normal Circumstance

Based on the evaluation index system of coordinated development between ecology and economics, and employing models of coupling degree and coordination degree, this paper firstly evaluates the development of eco-environment and economic system as well as the coordination degree of them from 2005 to 2014 at the provincial scale, then predicts the future coordination degree between eco- environment and economic development using a GM(1,1) gray model. The results show that the speed of economic development in Hunan is very high, the eco-environment is rising on the whole, and the coordination degree also achieves a stable and continuous improvement. In the next 5 years, Hunan's coordination degree of ecology and economics will be in a favorable development situation, and it will step into the highly coordinated development stage at the end of the 13th Five-Year Plan. At the city scale, the paper spatially analyzes and compares the coupling and coordinated development of eco-environment and economics of Hunan's 14 cities in 2013. The results demonstrate that there are obvious regional differences in ecological environment, economic development, and the coupling and coordination degree of them. Therefore, under the new normal circumstance, developing ecological agriculture and driving regional development by the supports from the economic circle of urban agglomeration would promote the coordinated development in Hunan.