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基于熵权TOPSIS 的林木生物质能源区域发展潜力的评价研究

Evaluation on Regional Development Potential of Forest Biomass Energy Based on TOPSIS Method

  • 摘要: 林木生物质能源区域发展潜力的评价是林木生物质能源合理、有效开发和利用的基础及前提,影响着其未来 的发展规模、发展战略以及发展可持续性。基于2013 年中国31 个省区相关数据,引用PSR 理论模型构建林木生 物质能源区域发展潜力的综合评价指标体系,结合熵权法和TOPSIS 法对各省市的林木生物质能源发展潜力进行 评价,将各省市林木生物质能源的发展潜力分为优秀、良好、一般和较差4 个等级,指明阻碍其发展的主要原因,并 提出相应的对策建议,为产业发展和相关政策制定提供参考依据。

     

    Abstract: Evaluation on regional development potential of forest biomass energy is foundational and prerequisite for reasonably and effectively developing and utilizing the forest biomass energy, which affects its future development scale, development strategy, and development sustainability. Based on the data of 31 provinces and regions in China in 2013, this paper constructed a comprehensive evaluation index system for the regional development potential of forest biomass energy using PSR (Pressure-State- Response) theory model, and then evaluated the development potential of forest biomass energy in each province and city while combining the entropy weight method and TOPSIS ( Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to an Ideal Solution) method. The development potential of forest biomass energy in each province and region was graded into 4 levels of excellent, good, general, and poor. Further, this paper pointed out the main reasons that hindered the development of forest biomass energy, and proposed the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, aiming at providing some references for the industry development and the related policy-making.

     

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