An Empirical Analysis of the Impact of Trade Facilitation for China-ASEAN Wood Forest Products Export
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摘要: 东盟是中国重要的贸易伙伴。选取了口岸与物流效率、海关与边境管理、制度环境、金融与电子商务4个一级指标以及20个二级指标建立了计算贸易便利化的模型, 测算出中国及东盟的贸易便利化水平。运用贸易引力模型实证分析了贸易便利化水平对中国木质林产品出口东盟的影响。结果表明, 中国的GDP、中国的人口数量、国民之间交流是否有障碍对贸易额产生正向影响, 东盟6国的人口、汇率对贸易产生负面的影响。贸易便利化水平对中国木质林产品出口东盟有比较明显的推动作用。为了促进木质林产品的出口, 需要进一步提高中国与东盟贸易的便利化水平, 尤其是加快金融与电子商务的发展。Abstract: This paper chooses four first-grade indicators, namely, port and logistics efficiency, customs and border management, institutional environment, and financial and e-commerce, as well as twenty second-grade indicators to construct a trade facilitation evaluation system and calculate the level of trade facilitation between China and ASEAN. We analyze the influence of ASEAN trade facilitation on the export of Chinese wood forest products by using the gravity model of trade. The results show that China's GDP and population, and communication barriers between citizens have positive impacts on trade volume, while ASEAN population and exchange rate have negative impacts on trade. The level of trade facilitation can improve the export of Chinese wood forest products. In order to promote the export of wood forest products, it is necessary to further enhance the level of trade facilitation of ASEAN, especially to speed up the development of finance and e-commerce.
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Keywords:
- ASEAN /
- trade facilitation /
- wooden forest exports /
- gravity model
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