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林业投资对城市居民绿色福利的影响研究

The Impact of Forestry Investment on Urban Residents' Green Welfare

  • 摘要: 基于2011—2019年中国省际面板数据,借助系统GMM和中介效应模型,从林业投资来源和去向两个视角出发,实证分析了林业投资对城市居民绿色福利的影响及影响路径。研究结果表明:①林业投资来源与各地区的森林资源禀赋紧密相关,且林业社会投资比林业财政投资更具效率性。引入森林资源禀赋后,林业财政投资、林业社会投资每提高1%,绿色福利分别提升10.414%和122.42%。②林业投资去向对城市居民绿色福利具有显著的提升作用。其中,林业生态建设与保护投资、林业支撑与保障投资以及林业基础设施建设投资每提高1%,绿色福利分别提升0.047%、0.021%和0.0147%,而林业产业发展投资对绿色福利的影响取决于其“正负效应”的大小。③对影响路径的研究发现,林业投资可以通过改善生态环境、促进经济增长从而提升绿色福利,同时也会通过降低居民消费水平以避免绿色福利损失。因此,林业投资来源应鼓励吸纳社会资本,林业投资去向应积极引导产业发展,从源头和末端两处着手,以更有效地提升城市居民绿色福利。

     

    Abstract: Based on Chinese inter-provincial panel data from 2011 to 2019, this paper empirically analyzed the impact of forestry investment on urban residents' green welfare and its impact pathways with the systematic GMM model and mediating effects model from two perspectives: the sources and destinations of forestry investment. The results of the study showed that: ① The source of forestry investment is dependent on the difference of forest resource endowment in each region, and forestry social investment is more efficient than forestry financial investment. For every 1% increase in forestry financial investment and forestry social investment after the introduction of forest resource endowment, the level of green welfare increases by 10.414% and 122.42%, respectively. ② The destination of forestry investment has a significant enhancement effect on urban residents' green welfare. Among them, for every 1% increase in forestry ecological construction and protection investment, forestry support and security investment, and forestry infrastructure construction investment, the level of green welfare increases by 0.047%, 0.021%, and 0.0147%, respectively, while the impact of investment in forestry industry development on green welfare depends on the magnitude of its "positive and negative effects". ③ The study of the impact pathways found that forestry investment can enhance green welfare through the improvement of ecological environment and the growth of economy, and also avoid the loss of green welfare by reducing residents' consumption level. Therefore, the source of forestry investment should encourage the absorption of social capital, and the direction of forestry investment should actively guide the development of forestry industry, so as to enhance the green welfare of urban residents more effectively from both the source and the end.

     

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