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“一村一品”示范村镇时空分布及影响因素研究

Spatio-Temporal Distribution and Its Influencing Factors of "One Village One Product" Demonstration Villages and Towns in China

  • 摘要: “一村一品”示范村镇是乡村产业振兴的重要发展模式。以第1 ~ 11批3 780个全国“一村一品”示范村镇为研究对象,综合运用核密度分析、平均最近邻算法、标准差椭圆、分位数回归等方法分析其时空演变特征和影响因素。结果表明:“一村一品”示范村镇空间分布不均衡,多集中于京津冀—鲁西南、四川盆地、长三角与珠三角等经济相对发达的地区,反映了不同地区乡村产业振兴水平存在较大差异。示范村镇产业结构不尽相同,主要以初级产品和第一产业为主,休闲农业、农村服务业等二三产业所占比例过小。自然与人文条件及社会经济因素综合影响示范村镇的形成与分布,地方财政支出、路网密度、人均地区生产总值、农林牧渔业总产值、人均可支配收入等社会经济类指标与示范村镇数量存在正相关关系。据此提出加大财政转移支付力度、重视城乡产业协同发展、促进高端农业品牌打造等建议。

     

    Abstract: "OneVillage One product" is an important development model for rural industrial revitalization. The first to eleventh batches of 3780 national "One Village One Product" demonstration villages and towns are used as the research objects, and their spatial and temporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors are analyzed by using kernel density analysis, average nearest neighbor algorithm, standard deviation ellipse, quantile regression, and other methods. The results show that the spatial distribution of "One Village One Product" model villages and towns is uneven, mostly concentrated in the relatively developed economic regions such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei-Southwestern Shandong contiguous area, Sichuan Basin, Yangtze River Delta, and Pearl River Delta, reflecting the large difference in the level of rural industrial revitalization in different regions. The industrial structures of model villages and towns are different, relying mainly on primary products and primary industries, and the proportion of secondary and tertiary industries such as leisure agriculture and rural services is too small. Natural and human conditions and socio-economic factors together influence the formation and distribution of model villages and towns, among which socio-economic indicators such as local fiscal expenditure, road network density, regional per capita GDP, the gross output value of agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery, and per capita disposable income have positive relationships with the number of model villages and towns. Accordingly, improving measures are proposed such as increasing financial transfer payments, attaching importance to the synergistic development of urban and rural industries, and promoting the creation of high-end agricultural brands.

     

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