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韩子烨, 张颖, 顾雪松. 京津冀地区金融发展对碳排放的影响研究基于STIRPAT的空间杜宾模型[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2024, 23(1): 40-47. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022279
引用本文: 韩子烨, 张颖, 顾雪松. 京津冀地区金融发展对碳排放的影响研究基于STIRPAT的空间杜宾模型[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2024, 23(1): 40-47. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022279
Han Ziye, Zhang Ying, Gu Xuesong. The Impact of Financial Development on Carbon Emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region: a Spatial Durbin Model Based on STIRPAT[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2024, 23(1): 40-47. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022279
Citation: Han Ziye, Zhang Ying, Gu Xuesong. The Impact of Financial Development on Carbon Emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region: a Spatial Durbin Model Based on STIRPAT[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2024, 23(1): 40-47. DOI: 10.13931/j.cnki.bjfuss.2022279

京津冀地区金融发展对碳排放的影响研究基于STIRPAT的空间杜宾模型

The Impact of Financial Development on Carbon Emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region: a Spatial Durbin Model Based on STIRPAT

  • 摘要: 基于2005—2019年北京、天津两个直辖市和河北11个地级市的城市面板数据,测算了各城市的人均CO2排放量,建立了包含金融规模和金融效率在内的扩展STIRPAT固定效应模型,并通过中介效应模型和空间杜宾模型,探究地区金融发展对人均CO2排放量的作用机制和空间效应。结果表明:①金融规模扩张促进了房价提升,推高了企业的生产成本,影响传统制造业的布局迁移,从而抑制碳排放;②提升金融效率为工业企业扩张提供了融资便利,产生的规模效应促进了碳排放;③金融发展对技术创新的支持作用不明显;④京津冀城市群的碳排放之间存在着负反馈效应,不利于城市群环境治理的协调发展;⑤与本地效应相比,金融规模和金融效率对邻近城市碳排放影响的方向一致,但强度较弱。基于以上结论,提出加快完善绿色金融体系、强化对绿色创新的信贷支持、坚定淘汰过剩产能等建议。

     

    Abstract: Based on the panel data of Beijing, Tianjin and 11 cities in Hebei from 2005 to 2019, this paper measures the per capita carbon dioxide emissions of each city and establishes an extended STIRPAT model including financial scale and financial efficiency. On this basis, the paper establishes mediation effect model and spatial Durbin model to explore the mechanism and spatial effect of financial development on per capita carbon dioxide emissions. The results show as follows: ① The expansion of financial scale increases the housing prices, pushes up the production cost of enterprises, affects the layout migration of traditional manufacturing, and thus curbs carbon emissions. ② The improvement of financial efficiency provides financing convenience for the expansion of industrial enterprises, and the resulting scale effect promotes carbon emissions. ③ The role of financial development in supporting technological innovation is not significant. ④ There exists negative feedback effect between the carbon emissions of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei cities, which is not conducive to the coordinated development of urban agglomeration's environmental governance. ⑤ Compared with the local effect, the influence of financial scale and financial efficiency on carbon emissions of neighboring cities is weaker. Based on the above findings, policy suggestions are proposed on speeding up the improvement of green finance system, promoting credit support for green innovation, and resolutely eliminating excess production capacity.

     

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