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造纸印刷业数字化投入是否促进了可持续贸易?基于制度质量的调节效应分析

Do digitization inputs in the paper and printing industry promote sustainable trade? -- An analysis of the moderating effect based on institutional quality

  • 摘要: 数字化转型促使数字化投入加速向各行业渗透,为各行业可持续发展提供新的动力。造纸印刷业作为关键的国民经济支柱行业,其主要产品纸制品在国际贸易中占据重要地位,成为研究数字化转型影响与策略的重要对象。而贸易中涉及的碳排放、碳转移等问题使得可持续贸易问题愈加受到关注。本文以造纸印刷业为例,基于2005—2018年48个经济体造纸印刷业的面板数据,首先,使用投入产出法测算各国造纸印刷业的数字化投入水平,其次,在双向固定效应模型中检验数字化投入对行业可持续贸易的影响,并进行稳健性检验与异质性分析,最后,进一步引入制度质量作为调节变量探究其在数字化投入对可持续贸易影响过程中所起到的调节作用。研究结论表明:造纸印刷业的数字化投入对可持续贸易具有显著的促进作用,用不同方法进行稳健性检验后结论依然成立;数字化投入对可持续贸易的作用效果根据国家经济发展程度以及是否为OECD成员国而异,在高等收入国家与OECD成员国中,这一影响更为显著;制度质量在数字化投入促进可持续贸易的过程中起到正向的调节作用,且政府效率与监管质量的作用更为突出。

     

    Abstract: Digital transformation has led to an accelerated penetration of digital inputs into all industries, providing new impetus for sustainable growth in all sectors. As a key national economic pillar industry, the paper and printing industry, whose main products, paper products, occupy an important position in international trade, has become an important object for studying the impact and strategy of digital transformation. The carbon emission and carbon transfer issues involved in the trade make the issue of sustainable trade more and more attention. In this paper, taking the paper and printing industry as an example, based on the panel data of paper and printing industry in 48 economies from 2005 to 2018, firstly, the level of digitalization inputs in paper and printing industry of each country is measured using the input-output method. Secondly, the impact of digital inputs on the sustainable trade of the industry is examined in a two-way fixed-effects model with robustness test and heterogeneity analysis. Finally, institutional quality is further introduced as a moderating variable to explore its moderating role in the impact of digital inputs on sustainable trade. The study concludes that digital inputs in the paper and printing industry have a significant effect on sustainable trade, and this effect varies according to the level of economic development of the country and whether it is a member of OECD or not. In addition, institutional quality positively moderates the contribution of digital inputs to sustainable trade, with government efficiency and regulatory quality playing a more prominent role.

     

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