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造纸印刷业数字化投入是否促进了可持续贸易?基于制度质量的调节效应分析

Do Digitization Inputs in the Paper and Printing Industry Promote Sustainable Trade?—— An Analysis of the Moderating Effect Based on Institutional Quality

  • 摘要: 数字化转型促使数字化投入加速向各行业渗透,为各行业可持续发展提供新的动力。造纸印刷业作为关键的国民经济支柱行业,其主要产品纸制品在国际贸易中占据重要地位,成为研究数字化转型策略与影响的重要对象。而贸易中涉及的碳排放、碳转移等问题使得可持续贸易问题愈加受到关注。本文以造纸印刷业为例,基于2005—2018年48个经济体造纸印刷业的面板数据,首先,使用投入产出法测算各国造纸印刷业的数字化投入水平,其次,在双向固定效应模型中检验数字化投入对行业可持续贸易的影响,并进行稳健性检验与异质性分析,最后,进一步引入制度质量作为调节变量探究其在数字化投入对可持续贸易影响过程中所起到的调节作用。研究结果表明:造纸印刷业的数字化投入对可持续贸易具有显著的促进作用,用不同方法进行稳健性检验后结论依然成立;数字化投入对可持续贸易的作用效果因国家经济发展程度以及是否为OECD成员国而异,在高收入国家与OECD成员国中,这一影响更为显著;制度质量在数字化投入促进可持续贸易的过程中起到正向的调节作用,且政府效率与监管质量的作用更为突出。

     

    Abstract: Digital transformation has accelerated the penetration of digital inputs into all industries, providing new impetus for sustainable growth in all sectors. As a key pillar of the national economy, the paper and printing industry, with its main products—paper products—holding significant positions in international trade, serves as crucial subject for studying the impacts and strategies of digital transformation. Issues such as carbon emissions and carbon transfer related to trade have drawn increasing attention to sustainable trade. This paper examines the paper and printing industry using panel data from 48 economies between 2005 and 2018. Firstly, we measure the level of digital inputs in each country's paper and printing industry using the input-output method. Secondly, we assess the impact of digital inputs on the sustainable trade of the industry within a two-way fixed-effects model, incorporating robustness tests and heterogeneity analyses. Finally, we introduce institutional quality as a moderating variable to explore its role in the relationship between digital inputs and sustainable trade. The findings indicate that digital inputs significantly promote sustainable trade in the paper and printing industry, with this effect varying based on according to the country's level of economic development and OECD membership. In addition, institutional quality positively moderates the influence of digital inputs to sustainable trade, with government efficiency and regulatory quality playing particularly prominent roles.

     

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