高级检索

中国家具产业韧性的区域差异、动态演进及影响因素

Regional Differences, Dynamic Evolution, and Influencing Factors of Economic Resilience in China's Furniture Industry

  • 摘要: 在中国家具制造业高质量发展亟需提升产业韧性,但五大家具产业集群仍未形成发展合力的背景下,本文首先使用反事实的敏感性指数法测度中国家具产业韧性,从抵抗能力、恢复能力和变革能力三个维度构建中国家具产业韧性的评价指标体系,运用地理探测器q统计量分析影响中国家具产业韧性的因素。其次,研究中国家具产业韧性的区域差异及动态演进。最后,提出助力五大家具产业集群形成发展合力的政策建议。结果表明:长三角、珠三角及环渤海家具产业集群的产业韧性比较平稳,面对风险冲击时会出现一定范围的波动,中西部及东北家具集群的产业韧性波动较大,尤其是中西部家具产业集群在恢复期出现较明显的产业韧性提升,但在面对疫情风险冲击时迅速回落;自2017年以来五大家具产业集群产业韧性的区域差异显著扩大。

     

    Abstract: Amid the urgent need to boost industry resilience for the high-quality development of China's furniture manufacturing industry, and the lack of synergy among its five major industry clusters, this paper firstly measures the resilience of China's furniture manufacturing industry using a counterfactual sensitivity index method. It constructs an evaluation system based on resistance, recovery, and transformation capabilities and uses geographic detector q-statistics to analyze the influencing factors of industry resilience. Secondly, this paper also examines regional differences and dynamic evolution. Finally, the paper offers policy recommendations to enhance the synergy among the five major industry clusters. The Results show the clusters of Yangtze River regions, Pearl River regions, and Bohai Rim regions maintain stable industry resilience, with moderate fluctuations under risk impacts; the central-western and northeastern clusters experience significant resilience fluctuations, with the central-western clusters showing notable recovery improvements but rapid declines under pandemic shocks; since 2017, regional differences among the five clusters have markedly increased.

     

/

返回文章
返回