三明市非木质林产品产业结构关联分析
Correlation Analyses of the Industrial Structure of Non-wood Forest Products in Sanming City
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摘要: 三次产业结构的调整和优化是产业经济发展的有效途径,也是提高产业综合竞争力的基本任务。非木质林 产品产业作为福建省三明市林业发展的一大特色,对三明市林业产业的转型升级有着举足轻重的拉动和提升作 用。对非木质林产品三次产业结构内部关联性的分析可以作为非木质林产品产业结构调整和优化的基础。由于 灰色系统理论对时间序列短、统计数据少、信息不完全系统的建模与分析具有独特的优势,因此,采用灰色关联度 分析法和灰色预测法对三明市非木质林产品三次产业结构变化的关联性和未来的发展状况进行计算和预测。Abstract: The adjustment and optimization of industrial structure is an effective way to promote economic development and to improve the competitiveness of the industry. Non-wood forest products (NWFPs) industry plays an important role in the development of forestry in Sanming City. The analysis of internal relevance of NWFPs'industrial structure can serve as the foundation of adjustment and optimization of NWFPs爷industrial structure. Since grey system theory has unique advantages in modeling and analyzing systems with short time series, few statistic data and incomplete information, this paper uses it to make a grey correlation analysis of NWFPs爷industrial structure and a prediction of the future development of NWFPs industry in Sanming City.