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中国木地板出口增长因素的实证分析 基于CMS 模型

缪东玲, 刘-晔, 程宝栋

缪东玲, 刘-晔, 程宝栋. 中国木地板出口增长因素的实证分析 基于CMS 模型[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2014, 13(3): 79-85.
引用本文: 缪东玲, 刘-晔, 程宝栋. 中国木地板出口增长因素的实证分析 基于CMS 模型[J]. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版), 2014, 13(3): 79-85.
MIAO Dong-ling, LIU Ye, CHENG Bao-dong. Empirical Analysis of the Factors Influencing Export Growth of Wood Floor in China: Based on CMS Model[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2014, 13(3): 79-85.
Citation: MIAO Dong-ling, LIU Ye, CHENG Bao-dong. Empirical Analysis of the Factors Influencing Export Growth of Wood Floor in China: Based on CMS Model[J]. Journal of Beijing Forestry University (Social Science), 2014, 13(3): 79-85.

中国木地板出口增长因素的实证分析 基于CMS 模型

Empirical Analysis of the Factors Influencing Export Growth of Wood Floor in China: Based on CMS Model

  • 摘要: 首先概述中国木地板的出口贸易状况,着重分析中国木地板出口规模、市场份额、商品结构和主要出口市场, 揭示中国加入世界贸易组织以来木地板出口迅速增长的现状。然后利用CMS 模型,从需求、结构和竞争力3 个维 度对20012011 年中国木地板出口的增长效应及各影响因素的作用强度和变化趋势进行了实证分析。最后得出 结论:中国木地板对出口目标市场规模扩大的依赖度较高;对需求增长较快的新型木地板品种、目标市场的贸易集 中度较低;中国木地板的产品结构和市场结构未能较好地适应目标市场的结构变化。为了促进中国木地板出口贸 易的发展,应该优化出口产品和市场结构,提升产品质量,转变竞争模式,完善市场信息服务等。
    Abstract: This paper first briefly introduces the current situation of wood export in China. By analyzing the export scale, market share, structure of the export products and the main export markets, it reveals the rapid growth of wood export since China's entry into WTO. Then based on the constant market share model (CMS model), and from the three dimensions of demand, structure and competitiveness, it makes an empirical analysis of the effects and tendency of the influencing factors that lead to the export growth of China's wood floor from 2001 to 2011. Finally the following conclusions are derived: China has a relatively high dependence on the expansion of the target export markets, and a relatively low trade concentration of target markets and new wood floor species which have rapid growth of demands. The structures of export products and market of wood floor in China didn't adapt well to the changes of target markets. To promote the export development of wood floor in China, we should optimize the structures of export product and market, improve the quality of the products, change the mode of competition, and improve the market information service.
  • 期刊类型引用(4)

    1. 高薇洋, 田明华, 吴成亮, 李春晖, 魏僮. CMS模型中国木质林产品供给波动分析. 林业经济问题. 2019(01): 8-17 . 百度学术
    2. 劳万里, 张冉, 段新芳, 徐佳鹤, 杨娜. 我国部分木制品进出口贸易概况. 林产工业. 2019(12): 1-4 . 百度学术
    3. 缪东玲, 韩艺松, 毛玉铃. 基于CMS模型分析中国木家具对美出口增长因素. 北京林业大学学报(社会科学版). 2018(02): 84-90 . 百度学术
    4. 姜书竹. 外部规模经济、差异产品与创新驱动视角下地板竞争优势. 林业经济问题. 2015(05): 407-411 . 百度学术

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  • 发布日期:  2014-11-28

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