Logistic Modeling Analysis on Compensation for Ecosystem Servicesof Natural Commercial Forest

This paper analyzes the reasons that causing difficulty of farmers’ operating right and benefit right could not be ensured although they gained the using rights of Natural Commercial Forest from the Reform of Collective Forest Using Rights System (RCFURS) in south China recently. A policy suggestion is raised that compensation for ecological benefit can resolve the contradictions between public ecology benefit and farmers’ economic benefit. With a logistic regression model, the paper analyzes investigation data of demonstration area, Dagan village of Hainan Province, based on contingent valuation method. Results show that there exists the negative correlation between the probability that farmers accept the payments for ecological services (PES) according to the local standard of public welfare forest compensation and proportion of planting income to family income. The model prediction accuracy is 67.9%. Reducing farmers’ dependence of planting is helpful to implement the PES policy of natural commercial forest, and can protect natural forest resources and achieve sustainable development of local environment and economy.